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Normal Distribution Calculator

Probability

Probability under the bell curve, without a z-table.

Probability

Normal Distribution Calculator

Probability between two values, z-scores, and the 68% and 95% ranges for a normal distribution.

Uses the normal CDF with a maximum error below 1.5 × 10⁻⁷. Probabilities are two-sided within the bounds you enter.

P(x₁ < X < x₂)

68.27%

z-scores
-1 → 1
P(X < x₁)
15.87%
P(X < x₂)
84.13%
Middle 68%
85.08 – 114.92
Middle 95%
70.6 – 129.4

Density at the lower bound: 0.01613. The normal model assumes a symmetric, bell-shaped distribution — check a histogram before relying on it.

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What This Calculator Does

The Normal Distribution Calculator returns the probability that a normally distributed value falls between two bounds. It also reports the matching z-scores, the cumulative probabilities, and the middle 68% and 95% ranges for your mean and standard deviation.

How It Works

A normal distribution is defined by its mean and standard deviation. Converting a value to a z-score — (x − μ) / σ — places it on the standard normal curve. The area under the curve between two z-scores is the probability of landing in that range. This calculator evaluates the normal CDF numerically, with an error below 1.5 × 10⁻⁷.

Example

For a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15, the probability of a value between 85 and 115 is about 68.27%, because those bounds sit one standard deviation either side of the mean. The middle 95% range runs from about 70.6 to 129.4.

Formula

z-score
z = (x − μ) / σ
Probability between bounds
P(a < X < b) = Φ((b − μ)/σ) − Φ((a − μ)/σ)

Φ is the standard normal cumulative distribution function.

68–95–99.7 rule
≈68% within 1σ, ≈95% within 2σ, ≈99.7% within 3σ

Reading the Results

Probability between bounds

The area under the normal curve between your two values, expressed as a percentage of all observations.

Middle 95% range

The central interval that contains 95% of values for this mean and standard deviation — the same 1.96σ logic used in confidence intervals.

Sources and References

  • NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods

    Normal distribution and standard normal table

    Section 1.3.6.6 documents the normal PDF, CDF, and the z transformation.

  • Abramowitz & Stegun, Handbook of Mathematical Functions

    Error-function approximation 7.1.26

    The approximation used here has a maximum absolute error of 1.5 × 10⁻⁷.

References identify the method or data behind this calculator. Where a standard or tariff changes, the current edition applies, and the assumptions stated above take precedence over a remembered figure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the 68–95–99.7 rule?

In a normal distribution, about 68% of values lie within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% within two, and 99.7% within three. It is a quick sanity check before using the exact calculation.

Can I use this if my data are not normal?

The arithmetic still runs, but the probabilities will be wrong. Check a histogram or a normality test first. Income, house prices, and wait times are typically skewed and need a different model or a transformation.

What is the difference between this and a z-score calculator?

A z-score calculator standardises one value. This calculator integrates the curve between two values to give a probability, and also reports the central 68% and 95% ranges.

Why is the middle 95% range not exactly mean ± 2σ?

Two standard deviations capture about 95.4%. The exact central 95% interval uses z = ±1.96, which is slightly narrower — the same critical value used in a 95% confidence interval.